PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta 1–2 Criciúma · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–2.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.11.2
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Ponte Preta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Criciúma): shots 11–17, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.1–1.2, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsPonte Preta 11 shots, Criciúma 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsPonte Preta 4 shots, Criciúma 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.2 xGPonte Preta 1.1 xG, Criciúma 1.2 xG
  • Possession39%61%Ponte Preta 39%, Criciúma 61%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersPonte Preta 1 corner, Criciúma 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsPonte Preta 16 fouls, Criciúma 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
2Criciúma
Criciúma — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–1
Ponte Preta — Criciúma · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta17 matchesCriciúma17 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.71 goals/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals7/10▲ 1.28 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots7/10▲ 15 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target7/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
41%Possession7/10● 55.9%
4.86 corners/matchCorners7/10● 6.6 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls7/1013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaCriciúma
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Criciúma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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