PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club 0–1 Operário-PR · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 0–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.630.86
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Athletic Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Operário-PR): shots 18–11, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.63–0.86, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsAthletic Club 18 shots, Operário-PR 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsAthletic Club 2 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.86 xGAthletic Club 1.63 xG, Operário-PR 0.86 xG
  • Possession53%47%Athletic Club 53%, Operário-PR 47%
  • Corners8 corners6 cornersAthletic Club 8 corners, Operário-PR 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsAthletic Club 16 fouls, Operário-PR 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Athletic Club
0Draws
0Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Athletic Club · Serie B1–4
Athletic Club — Operário-PR · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club16 matchesOperário-PR16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.25 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.06 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals9/8▲ 1.18 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots9/8▲ 14 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/8▲ 4.13 shots/match
40.4%Possession9/8● 52.1%
3.78 corners/matchCorners9/8● 5.25 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls9/814 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 8 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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