PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Criciúma 1–0 Sport Recife · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–0.

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: criciuma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciuma have a visible home split

weak

Criciuma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Criciúma
1Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Criciúma · Serie B3–3
Criciúma — Sport Recife · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma16 matchesSport Recife16 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.13 goals/match
0.69 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/160.75 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals9/6▲ 1.41 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/614 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target9/64.33 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession9/653.7%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners9/66.33 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls9/611.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCriciúma — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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