Krylya Sovetov Samara
Premier League · 2026Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Krasnodar drew 2–2.
- Shots
- 11–14
- Shots on target
- 5–7
- Possession
- 44%–56%
Full time
What the match recorded
Krylya Sovetov Samara and FK Krasnodar drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – FK Krasnodar): shots 11–14, shots on target 5–7, possession 44%–56%, corners 0–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season
moderateKrylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.8 goals/match | 1.43 goals/match | 1.46 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
FK Krasnodar show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateFK Krasnodar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | FK Krasnodar | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.9 shots/match | 14.4 shots/match | 13.1 shots/match |
| Shots against | 15.6 shots/match | 11 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateFK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov Samara | FK Krasnodar | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 45.9% | 56.3% | 48.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 1 of 9 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 7 · 1 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Krylya Sovetov Samara / FK Krasnodar
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
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Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.