PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1 Rodina Moscow · Premier League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 2–1.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
36
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat Rodina Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Rodina Moscow): shots 18–16, shots on target 3–6, possession 55%–45%, corners 3–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · Rodina Moscow8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraRodina MoscowBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match8 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match21.6 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 18 shots, Rodina Moscow 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 shots, Rodina Moscow 6 shots
  • Possession55%45%Krylya Sovetov Samara 55%, Rodina Moscow 45%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 corners, Rodina Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 10 fouls, Rodina Moscow 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card5 cardsKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 card, Rodina Moscow 5 cards
  • Passes453 passes350 passesKrylya Sovetov Samara 453 passes, Rodina Moscow 350 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%77.1%Krylya Sovetov Samara 77%, Rodina Moscow 77.1%
  • Shots inside box14 shots9 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 14 shots, Rodina Moscow 9 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 blocks, Rodina Moscow 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 saves, Rodina Moscow 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideKrylya Sovetov Samara 0 offsides, Rodina Moscow 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 9 of 9 directional metrics · Rodina Moscow in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara8 matchesRodina Moscow8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.63 goals/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/88 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.75 shots/match
47% ●Possession8/842.4%
3.38 corners/match ●Corners8/83 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls8/814.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraRodina Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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