PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Fakel Voronezh 2–2 Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh and Baltika Kaliningrad drew 2–2.

Shots
918
Shots on target
34
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh and Baltika Kaliningrad drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Baltika Kaliningrad): shots 9–18, shots on target 3–4, possession 39%–61%, corners 3–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.75 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsFakel Voronezh · Baltika Kaliningrad13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhBaltika KaliningradBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match10 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots18 shotsFakel Voronezh 9 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFakel Voronezh 3 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 4 shots
  • Possession39%61%Fakel Voronezh 39%, Baltika Kaliningrad 61%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersFakel Voronezh 3 corners, Baltika Kaliningrad 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsFakel Voronezh 17 fouls, Baltika Kaliningrad 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFakel Voronezh 1 card, Baltika Kaliningrad 3 cards
  • Passes240 passes360 passesFakel Voronezh 240 passes, Baltika Kaliningrad 360 passes
  • Pass accuracy52.5%70%Fakel Voronezh 52.5%, Baltika Kaliningrad 70%
  • Shots inside box5 shots14 shotsFakel Voronezh 5 shots, Baltika Kaliningrad 14 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksFakel Voronezh 2 blocks, Baltika Kaliningrad 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveFakel Voronezh 2 saves, Baltika Kaliningrad 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesFakel Voronezh 1 offside, Baltika Kaliningrad 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
1Baltika Kaliningrad
Fakel Voronezh — Baltika Kaliningrad · Premier League0–0
Baltika Kaliningrad — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Baltika Kaliningrad in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh8 matchesBaltika Kaliningrad8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
11 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.5 shots/match
2.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.63 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession8/839.8%
4.63 corners/matchCorners8/84.63 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhBaltika Kaliningrad
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFakel Voronezh — Baltika Kaliningrad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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