PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
36
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and Krylya Sovetov Samara drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 11–18, shots on target 3–6, possession 56%–44%, corners 3–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Krylya Sovetov Samara13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Shots13 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15.8 fouls/matchFoulsLokomotiv Moscow · Krylya Sovetov Samara16 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Fouls15.8 fouls/match16 fouls/match14 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 11 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 3 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 6 shots
  • Possession56%44%Lokomotiv Moscow 56%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 44%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerLokomotiv Moscow 3 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls19 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 18 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 19 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards4 cardsLokomotiv Moscow 5 cards, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 cards
  • Passes497 passes385 passesLokomotiv Moscow 497 passes, Krylya Sovetov Samara 385 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.5%74.6%Lokomotiv Moscow 79.5%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 74.6%
  • Shots inside box6 shots10 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 6 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockLokomotiv Moscow 2 blocks, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesLokomotiv Moscow 5 saves, Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideLokomotiv Moscow 0 offsides, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
2Draws
2Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow · Russian Cup2–2
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–2
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League5–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 3 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow9 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match
13 shots/matchShots9/913.2 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 5.22 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession9/946.7%
3.11 corners/matchCorners9/93.11 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls9/916 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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