PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–2 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–2.

Shots
2111
Shots on target
75
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – CSKA Moscow): shots 21–11, shots on target 7–5, possession 69%–31%, corners 10–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots11 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 21 shots, CSKA Moscow 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 7 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Possession69%31%Zenit St. Petersburg 69%, CSKA Moscow 31%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 10 corners, CSKA Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 14 fouls, CSKA Moscow 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsZenit St. Petersburg 4 cards, CSKA Moscow 3 cards
  • Passes641 passes284 passesZenit St. Petersburg 641 passes, CSKA Moscow 284 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%83.5%Zenit St. Petersburg 90%, CSKA Moscow 83.5%
  • Shots inside box19 shots9 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 19 shots, CSKA Moscow 9 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksZenit St. Petersburg 7 blocks, CSKA Moscow 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves6 savesZenit St. Petersburg 3 saves, CSKA Moscow 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesZenit St. Petersburg 1 offside, CSKA Moscow 2 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Artem Karpukas · Zenit St. Petersburg · 6′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMaksim Glushenkov · Zenit St. Petersburg · 31′ · 0.00 xG · on targetIvan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 51′ · 0.00 xG · on targetKirill Glebov · CSKA Moscow · 63′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSergey Volkov · Zenit St. Petersburg · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedNuraly Alip · Zenit St. Petersburg · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Andrade · Zenit St. Petersburg · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoão Victor · CSKA Moscow · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIvan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanil Krugovoy · CSKA Moscow · 71′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanil Krugovoy · CSKA Moscow · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTamerlan Musaev · CSKA Moscow · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKirill Glebov · CSKA Moscow · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexandr Erokhin · Zenit St. Petersburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuraly Alip · Zenit St. Petersburg · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuiz Henrique · Zenit St. Petersburg · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaksim Glushenkov · Zenit St. Petersburg · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJhon Jhon · Zenit St. Petersburg · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaksim Glushenkov · Zenit St. Petersburg · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaksim Glushenkov · Zenit St. Petersburg · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKirill Glebov · CSKA Moscow · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNuraly Alip · Zenit St. Petersburg · 34′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandr Erokhin · Zenit St. Petersburg · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 60′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 84′ · 0.10 xG · goalAleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIvan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalIvan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 45′ · 0.74 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Zenit St. Petersburg: 19 shots, 7 on target, 0.80 xG. CSKA Moscow: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.00 xG. · 2 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Aleksandr Sobolev · Zenit St. Petersburg · 84′Ivan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 45′Ivan Oblyakov · CSKA Moscow · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Zenit St. Petersburg 0.80 xG · CSKA Moscow 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Zenit St. Petersburg
2Draws
1CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–3
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0
CSKA Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 4 of 9 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg7 matchesCSKA Moscow7 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.57 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
16 shots/matchShots7/716 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target7/75.57 shots/match
60.7% ●Possession7/753.6%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners7/74.29 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls7/712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — CSKA Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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