FC Rostov
Premier League · 2026FC Rostov 3–1 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
FC Rostov won 3–1.
- Shots
- 12–10
- Shots on target
- 6–3
- Possession
- 46%–54%
Full time
What the match recorded
FC Rostov beat Fakel Voronezh 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Fakel Voronezh): shots 12–10, shots on target 6–3, possession 46%–54%, corners 4–1. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season
moderateFakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.2 goals/match | 0.57 goals/match | 1.46 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakFakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | FC Rostov | Fakel Voronezh | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.1 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 13.1 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.7 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | FC Rostov | Fakel Voronezh | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 4.71 corners/match | 4.86 corners/match | 4.17 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: FC Rostov favored in 7 of 9 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 2
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
FC Rostov / Fakel Voronezh
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
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