Primera A · 2026

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Atlético Nacional · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.762.03
Expected goals
0.81.57
Shots
9.3616.6
Possession
44.2%56.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: atlético Nacional have recorded the higher season possession share. The next-strongest reading is weaker: boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible home split

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.36 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match9.36 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Boyacá Chicó FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Boyacá Chicó FC's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.36 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match9.36 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.36 shots/match ▲ShotsBoyacá Chicó FC · Atlético Nacional16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBoyacá Chicó FCAtlético NacionalBaseline
Shots9.36 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC25 matchesAtlético Nacional30 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/30▲ 2.03 goals/match
1.76 goals/matchGoals allowed25/30▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals23/30▲ 1.57 xG/match
9.36 shots/matchShots25/30▲ 16.6 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target25/30▲ 6.4 shots/match
44.2%Possession25/30● 56.8%
3.68 corners/matchCorners25/30● 5.23 corners/match
3.78 cards/matchCards9/64 cards/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls25/3011.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Boyacá Chicó FC
0Draws
1Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional — Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A4–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness11 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • The recorded fixture timing is not currently settled.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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