PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Atlético Nacional 2–0 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional won 2–0.

Shots
118
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.370.79
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Nacional beat Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Nacional – Rionegro Águilas Doradas): shots 11–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.37–0.79, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Nacional have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Nacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Nacional · Rionegro Águilas Doradas11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético NacionalRionegro Águilas DoradasBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsAtlético Nacional 11 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAtlético Nacional 4 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.79 xGAtlético Nacional 1.37 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0.79 xG
  • Possession61%39%Atlético Nacional 61%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 39%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersAtlético Nacional 7 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAtlético Nacional 11 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAtlético Nacional 2 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 card
  • Passes414 passes262 passesAtlético Nacional 414 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 262 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.8%78.6%Atlético Nacional 83.8%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 78.6%
  • Shots inside box5 shots3 shotsAtlético Nacional 5 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksAtlético Nacional 4 blocks, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesAtlético Nacional 2 saves, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesAtlético Nacional 2 offsides, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Nacional
0Draws
0Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Atlético Nacional · Primera A1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Nacional31 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas26 matches
2.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/261.15 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/261.35 goals/match
1.56 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/201.07 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots31/2611.5 shots/match
6.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/263.62 shots/match
57% ●Possession31/2650.1%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners31/264.46 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards6/92.67 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls31/2611 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético NacionalRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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