PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Internacional de Bogotá 2–3 Atlético Nacional · Primera A

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional won 2–3.

Shots
619
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.531.5
Possession
27%73%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Nacional beat Internacional de Bogotá 3–2. Recorded in this match (Internacional de Bogotá – Atlético Nacional): shots 6–19, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.53–1.5, possession 27%–73%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Nacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Nacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Nacional.

4.18 days ▲Rest daysInternacional de Bogotá · Atlético Nacional3.18 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInternacional de BogotáAtlético NacionalBaseline
Rest days4.18 days3.18 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional de Bogotá · Atlético Nacional16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacional de BogotáAtlético NacionalBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots19 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 6 shots, Atlético Nacional 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 4 shots, Atlético Nacional 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.53 xG1.5 xGInternacional de Bogotá 0.53 xG, Atlético Nacional 1.5 xG
  • Possession27%73%Internacional de Bogotá 27%, Atlético Nacional 73%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersInternacional de Bogotá 3 corners, Atlético Nacional 9 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsInternacional de Bogotá 18 fouls, Atlético Nacional 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardInternacional de Bogotá 2 cards, Atlético Nacional 1 card
  • Passes220 passes605 passesInternacional de Bogotá 220 passes, Atlético Nacional 605 passes
  • Pass accuracy64.6%88.6%Internacional de Bogotá 64.6%, Atlético Nacional 88.6%
  • Shots inside box3 shots11 shotsInternacional de Bogotá 3 shots, Atlético Nacional 11 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksInternacional de Bogotá 1 block, Atlético Nacional 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesInternacional de Bogotá 5 saves, Atlético Nacional 2 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides0 offsidesInternacional de Bogotá 5 offsides, Atlético Nacional 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional de Bogotá
0Draws
3Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A7–1
Internacional de Bogotá — Atlético Nacional · Primera A1–2
Atlético Nacional — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá31 matchesAtlético Nacional32 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored31/32▲ 2.06 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed31/32▲ 0.84 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals25/32▲ 1.56 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots31/32▲ 16.5 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target31/32▲ 6.38 shots/match
45.1%Possession31/32● 57.5%
4.81 corners/matchCorners31/32● 5.41 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards6/64 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 17 Sept 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáAtlético Nacional
CompetitionPrimera A
Head-to-headInternacional de Bogotá — Atlético Nacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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