PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pereira 1–3 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga won 1–3.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.240.78
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Bucaramanga beat Deportivo Pereira 3–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Atlético Bucaramanga): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.24–0.78, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pereira show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.96 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Atlético Bucaramanga12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraAtlético BucaramangaBaseline
Shots8.96 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Deportivo Pereira have a visible home split

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.96 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match8.96 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsDeportivo Pereira 10 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsDeportivo Pereira 3 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG0.78 xGDeportivo Pereira 0.24 xG, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.78 xG
  • Possession55%45%Deportivo Pereira 55%, Atlético Bucaramanga 45%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersDeportivo Pereira 4 corners, Atlético Bucaramanga 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls5 foulsDeportivo Pereira 18 fouls, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsDeportivo Pereira 1 card, Atlético Bucaramanga 2 cards
  • Passes485 passes404 passesDeportivo Pereira 485 passes, Atlético Bucaramanga 404 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.8%79%Deportivo Pereira 80.8%, Atlético Bucaramanga 79%
  • Shots inside box4 shots5 shotsDeportivo Pereira 4 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksDeportivo Pereira 2 blocks, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves2 savesDeportivo Pereira 4 saves, Atlético Bucaramanga 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesDeportivo Pereira 2 offsides, Atlético Bucaramanga 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pereira
0Draws
1Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira26 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga26 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1 goal/match
0.76 xG/matchExpected goals22/19▲ 1.08 xG/match
8.96 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.7 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.19 shots/match
44.4%Possession26/26● 50.8%
2.42 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.08 corners/match
3.29 cards/matchCards7/35.67 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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