PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Millonarios 1–1 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali drew 1–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.740.57
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Deportivo Cali): shots 17–11, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.74–0.57, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios.

4.08 days ▲Rest daysMillonarios · Deportivo Cali11 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillonariosDeportivo CaliBaseline
Rest days4.08 days11 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsMillonarios 17 shots, Deportivo Cali 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMillonarios 7 shots, Deportivo Cali 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.57 xGMillonarios 1.74 xG, Deportivo Cali 0.57 xG
  • Possession53%47%Millonarios 53%, Deportivo Cali 47%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersMillonarios 7 corners, Deportivo Cali 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsMillonarios 15 fouls, Deportivo Cali 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards5 cardsMillonarios 5 cards, Deportivo Cali 5 cards
  • Passes401 passes360 passesMillonarios 401 passes, Deportivo Cali 360 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.8%80.8%Millonarios 78.8%, Deportivo Cali 80.8%
  • Shots inside box9 shots7 shotsMillonarios 9 shots, Deportivo Cali 7 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockMillonarios 5 blocks, Deportivo Cali 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesMillonarios 4 saves, Deportivo Cali 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesMillonarios 2 offsides, Deportivo Cali 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millonarios
1Draws
0Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali — Millonarios · Primera A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios28 matchesDeportivo Cali26 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/261.12 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed28/26▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/221.04 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2612.6 shots/match
5.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/264 shots/match
48.6%Possession28/26● 51%
5.93 corners/match ●Corners28/264.62 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards6/84.38 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2614.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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