Primera A · 2026

Cúcuta Deportivo 1–2 Millonarios · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 1–2.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
89
Expected goals
0.691.05
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Cúcuta Deportivo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cúcuta Deportivo – Millonarios): shots 16–17, shots on target 8–9, expected goals 0.69–1.05, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios.

8.09 days ▲Rest daysCúcuta Deportivo · Millonarios3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCúcuta DeportivoMillonariosBaseline
Rest days8.09 days3.01 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Millonarios show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.81 shots/match ▲ShotsCúcuta Deportivo · Millonarios15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCúcuta DeportivoMillonariosBaseline
Shots9.81 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Millonarios's recent record differs from the season

weak

Millonarios's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 16 shots, Millonarios 17 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots9 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 8 shots, Millonarios 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.05 xGCúcuta Deportivo 0.69 xG, Millonarios 1.05 xG
  • Possession48%52%Cúcuta Deportivo 48%, Millonarios 52%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersCúcuta Deportivo 7 corners, Millonarios 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsCúcuta Deportivo 8 fouls, Millonarios 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardCúcuta Deportivo 1 card, Millonarios 1 card
  • Passes324 passes360 passesCúcuta Deportivo 324 passes, Millonarios 360 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.1%76.4%Cúcuta Deportivo 74.1%, Millonarios 76.4%
  • Shots inside box9 shots8 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 9 shots, Millonarios 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockCúcuta Deportivo 1 block, Millonarios 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves7 savesCúcuta Deportivo 6 saves, Millonarios 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside4 offsidesCúcuta Deportivo 1 offside, Millonarios 4 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cúcuta Deportivo
0Draws
1Millonarios
Millonarios — Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cúcuta Deportivo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Millonarios in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cúcuta Deportivo28 matchesMillonarios29 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/29▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed28/29▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals23/24▲ 1.34 xG/match
9.81 shots/matchShots27/29▲ 15.6 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target27/29▲ 5.79 shots/match
46.2%Possession27/29● 48.8%
3.85 corners/matchCorners27/29● 5.9 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards8/64.5 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2911.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Sept 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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