PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Cali 3–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali won 3–0.

Shots
175
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.280.29
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali beat Cúcuta Deportivo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Cúcuta Deportivo): shots 17–5, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.28–0.29, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Cali show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Cali's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Cali · Cúcuta Deportivo9.64 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match9.64 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match16.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsDeportivo Cali 17 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsDeportivo Cali 7 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.28 xG0.29 xGDeportivo Cali 2.28 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.29 xG
  • Possession52%48%Deportivo Cali 52%, Cúcuta Deportivo 48%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerDeportivo Cali 5 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsDeportivo Cali 10 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsDeportivo Cali 2 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 cards
  • Passes459 passes424 passesDeportivo Cali 459 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 424 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.5%81.6%Deportivo Cali 86.5%, Cúcuta Deportivo 81.6%
  • Shots inside box11 shots1 shotDeportivo Cali 11 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 shot
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksDeportivo Cali 4 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesDeportivo Cali 2 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesDeportivo Cali 4 offsides, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Cali
0Draws
0Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo — Deportivo Cali · Primera A0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali28 matchesCúcuta Deportivo29 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/291.07 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/291.83 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.86 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots28/289.64 shots/match
4.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.79 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession28/2846.3%
4.46 corners/match ●Corners28/283.75 corners/match
4.38 cards/matchCards8/84.5 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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