PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Independiente Santa Fe 0–1 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.190.41
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali beat Independiente Santa Fe 1–0. Recorded in this match (Independiente Santa Fe – Deportivo Cali): shots 19–9, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.19–0.41, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Santa Fe, Deportivo Cali.

3.16 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente Santa Fe · Deportivo Cali3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependiente Santa FeDeportivo CaliBaseline
Rest days3.16 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 19 shots, Deportivo Cali 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 5 shots, Deportivo Cali 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.41 xGIndependiente Santa Fe 1.19 xG, Deportivo Cali 0.41 xG
  • Possession55%45%Independiente Santa Fe 55%, Deportivo Cali 45%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersIndependiente Santa Fe 9 corners, Deportivo Cali 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsIndependiente Santa Fe 11 fouls, Deportivo Cali 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsIndependiente Santa Fe 2 cards, Deportivo Cali 2 cards
  • Passes470 passes393 passesIndependiente Santa Fe 470 passes, Deportivo Cali 393 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.8%84.7%Independiente Santa Fe 86.8%, Deportivo Cali 84.7%
  • Shots inside box11 shots3 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 11 shots, Deportivo Cali 3 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks0 blocksIndependiente Santa Fe 3 blocks, Deportivo Cali 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves5 savesIndependiente Santa Fe 3 saves, Deportivo Cali 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesIndependiente Santa Fe 1 offside, Deportivo Cali 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Independiente Santa Fe
1Draws
0Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali — Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe33 matchesDeportivo Cali29 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/291.21 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed33/29▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/251.05 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots33/2912.6 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/294.17 shots/match
47.4%Possession33/29● 50.4%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners33/294.41 corners/match
3.56 cards/matchCards9/94.11 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls33/2913.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Sept 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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