PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Boyacá Chicó FC 2–1 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Boyacá Chicó FC won 2–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.510.92
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Boyacá Chicó FC beat Independiente Medellín 2–1. Recorded in this match (Boyacá Chicó FC – Independiente Medellín): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.51–0.92, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Boyacá Chicó FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible home split

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Boyacá Chicó FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Boyacá Chicó FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBoyacá Chicó FC · Independiente Medellín14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBoyacá Chicó FCIndependiente MedellínBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 13 shots, Independiente Medellín 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 5 shots, Independiente Medellín 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.92 xGBoyacá Chicó FC 1.51 xG, Independiente Medellín 0.92 xG
  • Possession43%57%Boyacá Chicó FC 43%, Independiente Medellín 57%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerBoyacá Chicó FC 5 corners, Independiente Medellín 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsBoyacá Chicó FC 11 fouls, Independiente Medellín 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsBoyacá Chicó FC 3 cards, Independiente Medellín 3 cards
  • Passes310 passes422 passesBoyacá Chicó FC 310 passes, Independiente Medellín 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%85.8%Boyacá Chicó FC 80%, Independiente Medellín 85.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsBoyacá Chicó FC 8 shots, Independiente Medellín 6 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksBoyacá Chicó FC 4 blocks, Independiente Medellín 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesBoyacá Chicó FC 5 saves, Independiente Medellín 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesBoyacá Chicó FC 2 offsides, Independiente Medellín 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Boyacá Chicó FC
0Draws
1Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín — Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 13

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC26 matchesIndependiente Medellín26 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.23 goals/match
0.83 xG/matchExpected goals24/21▲ 1.22 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.85 shots/match
44.2%Possession26/26● 53%
3.73 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.92 corners/match
3.8 cards/matchCards10/94.22 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBoyacá Chicó FCIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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