PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–0 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC won 1–0.

Shots
1019
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.71.29
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar FC beat Junior Barranquilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar FC – Junior Barranquilla): shots 10–19, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.7–1.29, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.7 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Junior Barranquilla have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.7%PossessionAlianza Valledupar FC · Junior Barranquilla● 52.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAlianza Valledupar FCJunior BarranquillaBaseline
Possession44.7%52.9%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots19 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 10 shots, Junior Barranquilla 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 3 shots, Junior Barranquilla 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.29 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 0.7 xG, Junior Barranquilla 1.29 xG
  • Possession28%72%Alianza Valledupar FC 28%, Junior Barranquilla 72%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 4 corners, Junior Barranquilla 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 13 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 cards, Junior Barranquilla 4 cards
  • Passes181 passes471 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 181 passes, Junior Barranquilla 471 passes
  • Pass accuracy65.2%84.1%Alianza Valledupar FC 65.2%, Junior Barranquilla 84.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots9 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 7 shots, Junior Barranquilla 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block8 blocksAlianza Valledupar FC 1 block, Junior Barranquilla 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 5 saves, Junior Barranquilla 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAlianza Valledupar FC 2 offsides, Junior Barranquilla 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar FC
1Draws
0Junior Barranquilla
Junior Barranquilla — Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC27 matchesJunior Barranquilla32 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored27/32▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed27/32▲ 1.28 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals23/29▲ 1.15 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots27/31▲ 13.5 shots/match
2.85 shots/matchShots on target27/31▲ 4.52 shots/match
44.7%Possession27/31● 52.9%
4.15 corners/matchCorners27/31● 4.94 corners/match
4.67 cards/matchCards6/53 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/3112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples27 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Sept 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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