PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Millonarios 0–1 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
42
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Bucaramanga beat Millonarios 1–0. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Atlético Bucaramanga): shots 19–9, shots on target 4–2, possession 56%–44%, corners 8–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Bucaramanga's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Bucaramanga's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.35 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsMillonarios 19 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsMillonarios 4 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 2 shots
  • Possession56%44%Millonarios 56%, Atlético Bucaramanga 44%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersMillonarios 8 corners, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsMillonarios 9 fouls, Atlético Bucaramanga 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millonarios
0Draws
1Atlético Bucaramanga
Atlético Bucaramanga — Millonarios · Primera A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios20 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga20 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/201.35 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1 goal/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/141.09 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots20/2013.2 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.05 shots/match
47.8%Possession20/20● 51.3%
5.9 corners/match ●Corners20/204.6 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards6/35.67 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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