PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga 1–1 Llaneros FC · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga and Llaneros FC drew 1–1.

Shots
78
Shots on target
34
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Bucaramanga and Llaneros FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Bucaramanga – Llaneros FC): shots 7–8, shots on target 3–4, possession 60%–40%, corners 6–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Llaneros FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Llaneros FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Llaneros FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Llaneros FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Bucaramanga · Llaneros FC10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético BucaramangaLlaneros FCBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots8 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 7 shots, Llaneros FC 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 3 shots, Llaneros FC 4 shots
  • Possession60%40%Atlético Bucaramanga 60%, Llaneros FC 40%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAtlético Bucaramanga 6 corners, Llaneros FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsAtlético Bucaramanga 10 fouls, Llaneros FC 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Bucaramanga
1Draws
0Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC — Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga21 matchesLlaneros FC21 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/210.9 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed21/211 goal/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.93 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots21/2110.6 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/213.62 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession21/2148%
4.67 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.14 corners/match
5.67 cards/matchCards3/73.71 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 31 Jul 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético BucaramangaLlaneros FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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