Primera A · 2026

Atlético Bucaramanga 1–1 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga and Cúcuta Deportivo drew 1–1.

Shots
258
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
1.991.38
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Bucaramanga and Cúcuta Deportivo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Bucaramanga – Cúcuta Deportivo): shots 25–8, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 1.99–1.38, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cúcuta Deportivo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Bucaramanga.

4 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Bucaramanga · Cúcuta Deportivo7.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético BucaramangaCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Rest days4 days7.99 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cúcuta Deportivo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Bucaramanga · Cúcuta Deportivo9.15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético BucaramangaCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match9.15 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.95 shots/match17 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots8 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 25 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 9 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG1.38 xGAtlético Bucaramanga 1.99 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 1.38 xG
  • Possession65%35%Atlético Bucaramanga 65%, Cúcuta Deportivo 35%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerAtlético Bucaramanga 3 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsAtlético Bucaramanga 12 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Bucaramanga
1Draws
0Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo — Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga22 matchesCúcuta Deportivo21 matches
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/211.14 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.95 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/160.91 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/209.15 shots/match
4.23 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/203.6 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession22/2046.6%
4.59 corners/match ●Corners22/204.2 corners/match
5.67 cards/matchCards3/74.14 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls22/209.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 4 Aug 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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