Primera A · 2026

Fortaleza CEIF 2–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza CEIF won 2–0.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
0.781.38
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza CEIF beat Cúcuta Deportivo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza CEIF – Cúcuta Deportivo): shots 13–17, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 0.78–1.38, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cúcuta Deportivo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.52 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match9.52 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fortaleza CEIF.

4.01 days ▲Rest daysFortaleza CEIF · Cúcuta Deportivo4.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFortaleza CEIFCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Rest days4.01 days4.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fortaleza CEIF show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fortaleza CEIF's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFortaleza CEIF · Cúcuta Deportivo9.52 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortaleza CEIFCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match9.52 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsFortaleza CEIF 13 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsFortaleza CEIF 7 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.38 xGFortaleza CEIF 0.78 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 1.38 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fortaleza CEIF 54%, Cúcuta Deportivo 46%
  • Corners1 corner2 cornersFortaleza CEIF 1 corner, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsFortaleza CEIF 13 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza CEIF
1Draws
0Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo — Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF23 matchesCúcuta Deportivo22 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/221.09 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/221.95 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals19/170.94 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots23/219.52 shots/match
3.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/213.67 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession23/2146.5%
4.3 corners/match ●Corners23/214.1 corners/match
3.56 cards/matchCards9/74.14 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls23/2110 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 01:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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