Primera A · 2026

Once Caldas 5–1 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Once Caldas won 5–1.

Shots
1625
Shots on target
86
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Once Caldas beat Cúcuta Deportivo 5–1. Recorded in this match (Once Caldas – Cúcuta Deportivo): shots 16–25, shots on target 8–6, possession 42%–58%, corners 7–10. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cúcuta Deportivo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cúcuta Deportivo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match9.21 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Once Caldas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOnce Caldas · Cúcuta Deportivo9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOnce CaldasCúcuta DeportivoBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match9.21 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Once Caldas have a visible home split

moderate

Once Caldas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots25 shotsOnce Caldas 16 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 25 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsOnce Caldas 8 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 shots
  • Possession42%58%Once Caldas 42%, Cúcuta Deportivo 58%
  • Corners7 corners10 cornersOnce Caldas 7 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 10 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls3 foulsOnce Caldas 15 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Once Caldas
0Draws
0Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo — Once Caldas · Primera A1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas22 matchesCúcuta Deportivo20 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/201.15 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/202 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/150.88 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots22/199.21 shots/match
5.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/193.68 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession22/1947.2%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners22/194.37 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/74.14 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls22/199.68 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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