PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–1 Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC and Fortaleza CEIF drew 1–1.

Shots
135
Shots on target
42
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar FC and Fortaleza CEIF drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar FC – Fortaleza CEIF): shots 13–5, shots on target 4–2, possession 56%–44%, corners 5–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fortaleza CEIF have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.1%PossessionAlianza Valledupar FC · Fortaleza CEIF● 54.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAlianza Valledupar FCFortaleza CEIFBaseline
Possession46.1%54.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 13 shots, Fortaleza CEIF 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 4 shots, Fortaleza CEIF 2 shots
  • Possession56%44%Alianza Valledupar FC 56%, Fortaleza CEIF 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 5 corners, Fortaleza CEIF 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 14 fouls, Fortaleza CEIF 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar FC
0Draws
1Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF — Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza CEIF in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC20 matchesFortaleza CEIF20 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.4 goals/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 0.89 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 11.8 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 3.6 shots/match
46.1%Possession20/20● 54.5%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners20/204.3 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/93.56 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Jul 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCFortaleza CEIF
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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