PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–2 Deportes Tolima · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Tolima won 1–2.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.571.37
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Tolima beat Alianza Valledupar FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar FC – Deportes Tolima): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.57–1.37, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Tolima have a visible away split

moderate

Deportes Tolima's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Deportes Tolima have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.4%PossessionAlianza Valledupar FC · Deportes Tolima● 54.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAlianza Valledupar FCDeportes TolimaBaseline
Possession45.4%54.9%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 12 shots, Deportes Tolima 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 3 shots, Deportes Tolima 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG1.37 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 1.57 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.37 xG
  • Possession33%67%Alianza Valledupar FC 33%, Deportes Tolima 67%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 2 corners, Deportes Tolima 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 12 fouls, Deportes Tolima 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar FC
0Draws
1Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima — Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Tolima in 10 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC21 matchesDeportes Tolima25 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored21/25▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/25▲ 0.92 goals/match
0.85 xG/matchExpected goals17/20▲ 1.31 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots21/25▲ 13 shots/match
2.81 shots/matchShots on target21/25▲ 4.44 shots/match
45.4%Possession21/25● 54.9%
4.29 corners/matchCorners21/25● 4.56 corners/match
4.6 cards/matchCards5/83.88 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCDeportes Tolima
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required