Independiente Medellín
Primera A · 2026Independiente Medellín 1–0 Deportivo Cali · Primera A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Independiente Medellín won 1–0.
- Shots
- 13–11
- Shots on target
- 3–2
- Expected goals
- 0.91–1.4
- Possession
- 59%–41%
Full time
What the match recorded
Independiente Medellín beat Deportivo Cali 1–0. Recorded in this match (Independiente Medellín – Deportivo Cali): shots 13–11, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.91–1.4, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season
weakDeportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 0.8 goals/match | 1.05 goals/match | 1.27 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Deportivo Cali have a visible away split
moderateDeportivo Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 10.5 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match | 12.6 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Independiente Medellín | Deportivo Cali | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.38 corners/match | 5 corners/match | 4.54 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Independiente Medellín favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 2 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Independiente Medellín / Deportivo Cali
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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