PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pasto 0–2 Deportivo Cali · Primera A

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali won 0–2.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.550.9
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali beat Deportivo Pasto 2–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pasto – Deportivo Cali): shots 12–20, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.55–0.9, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.28 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.28 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsDeportivo Pasto 12 shots, Deportivo Cali 20 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsDeportivo Pasto 4 shots, Deportivo Cali 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.55 xG0.9 xGDeportivo Pasto 0.55 xG, Deportivo Cali 0.9 xG
  • Possession62%38%Deportivo Pasto 62%, Deportivo Cali 38%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersDeportivo Pasto 6 corners, Deportivo Cali 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls20 foulsDeportivo Pasto 18 fouls, Deportivo Cali 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pasto
0Draws
1Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto25 matchesDeportivo Cali22 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/221.09 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed25/22▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals19/181.01 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots25/22▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target25/22▲ 3.95 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession25/2250.1%
4.04 corners/matchCorners25/22● 4.91 corners/match
4.56 cards/matchCards9/84.38 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2215.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples25 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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