PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 2–0.

Shots
175
Shots on target
101
Expected goals
1.760.17
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Deportivo Pasto 2–0. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Deportivo Pasto): shots 17–5, shots on target 10–1, expected goals 1.76–0.17, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios, Deportivo Pasto.

3 days ▲Rest daysMillonarios · Deportivo Pasto3.26 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillonariosDeportivo PastoBaseline
Rest days3 days3.26 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsMillonarios 17 shots, Deportivo Pasto 5 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots1 shotMillonarios 10 shots, Deportivo Pasto 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.76 xG0.17 xGMillonarios 1.76 xG, Deportivo Pasto 0.17 xG
  • Possession33%67%Millonarios 33%, Deportivo Pasto 67%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersMillonarios 8 corners, Deportivo Pasto 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls11 foulsMillonarios 20 fouls, Deportivo Pasto 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Millonarios
0Draws
1Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto — Millonarios · Primera A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios22 matchesDeportivo Pasto24 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/241.33 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/241.46 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/181.08 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots22/2411.6 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/243.71 shots/match
46.9%Possession22/24● 51.3%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners22/243.96 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards6/94.56 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls22/2411.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 5 Aug 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosDeportivo Pasto
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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