PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–3 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 1–3.

Shots
167
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
2.130.78
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Akhmat Grozny 3–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 16–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 2.13–0.78, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.78 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.78 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod have a visible away split

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsAkhmat Grozny 16 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAkhmat Grozny 4 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.13 xG0.78 xGAkhmat Grozny 2.13 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.78 xG
  • Possession57%43%Akhmat Grozny 57%, Nizhny Novgorod 43%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersAkhmat Grozny 9 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAkhmat Grozny 14 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny9 matchesNizhny Novgorod9 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲ 1.78 goals/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals9/91.32 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.4 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.78 shots/match
43.1%Possession9/9● 46.6%
3.56 corners/match ●Corners9/93.33 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/911.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Sept 2022, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required