Premier League · 2022

Lokomotiv Moscow 1–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–2.

Shots
195
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.390.78
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Akhmat Grozny): shots 19–5, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.39–0.78, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.9% ●PossessionLokomotiv Moscow · Akhmat Grozny41.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession51.9%41.4%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 19 shots, Akhmat Grozny 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 9 shots, Akhmat Grozny 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG0.78 xGLokomotiv Moscow 2.39 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.78 xG
  • Possession71%29%Lokomotiv Moscow 71%, Akhmat Grozny 29%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 4 corners, Akhmat Grozny 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls16 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 6 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow8 matchesAkhmat Grozny8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.3 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.4 shots/match
6.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/85.38 shots/match
51.9% ●Possession8/841.4%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners8/82.88 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Sept 2022, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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