PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 4–1 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 4–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
3.390.16
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat FK Krasnodar 4–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FK Krasnodar): shots 14–6, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 3.39–0.16, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionCSKA Moscow · FK Krasnodar● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession48.3%57.1%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsCSKA Moscow 14 shots, FK Krasnodar 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsCSKA Moscow 9 shots, FK Krasnodar 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.39 xG0.16 xGCSKA Moscow 3.39 xG, FK Krasnodar 0.16 xG
  • Possession37%63%CSKA Moscow 37%, FK Krasnodar 63%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersCSKA Moscow 4 corners, FK Krasnodar 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsCSKA Moscow 17 fouls, FK Krasnodar 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow9 matchesFK Krasnodar9 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/92 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/71.68 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots9/915 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.67 shots/match
48.3%Possession9/9● 57.1%
4 corners/match ●Corners9/93.78 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/910.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Sept 2022, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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