PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Nizhny Novgorod 3–1 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 3–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.640.86
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Fakel Voronezh 3–1. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Fakel Voronezh): shots 13–6, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.64–0.86, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod have a visible home split

weak

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match12 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsNizhny Novgorod 13 shots, Fakel Voronezh 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsNizhny Novgorod 5 shots, Fakel Voronezh 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.64 xG0.86 xGNizhny Novgorod 2.64 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.86 xG
  • Possession60%40%Nizhny Novgorod 60%, Fakel Voronezh 40%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersNizhny Novgorod 5 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls15 foulsNizhny Novgorod 6 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod8 matchesFakel Voronezh8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.25 goals/match
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.38 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.37 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots8/811.9 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.88 shots/match
47% ●Possession8/843%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.25 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Sept 2022, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required