PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Nizhny Novgorod 3–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 3–2.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.41.55
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat Akhmat Grozny 3–2. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Akhmat Grozny): shots 12–14, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.4–1.55, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsNizhny Novgorod 12 shots, Akhmat Grozny 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsNizhny Novgorod 4 shots, Akhmat Grozny 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.4 xG1.55 xGNizhny Novgorod 1.4 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.55 xG
  • Possession43%57%Nizhny Novgorod 43%, Akhmat Grozny 57%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersNizhny Novgorod 4 corners, Akhmat Grozny 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsNizhny Novgorod 14 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nizhny Novgorod
0Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod17 matchesAkhmat Grozny17 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.39 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.06 shots/match
44.4% ●Possession17/1743%
3.35 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.12 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Nov 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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