PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Ural Yekaterinburg 2–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ural Yekaterinburg won 2–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.950.78
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ural Yekaterinburg beat Fakel Voronezh 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ural Yekaterinburg – Fakel Voronezh): shots 18–8, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.95–0.78, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ural Yekaterinburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.58 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Ural Yekaterinburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8% ●PossessionUral Yekaterinburg · Fakel Voronezh41.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUral YekaterinburgFakel VoronezhBaseline
Possession51.8%41.3%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsUral Yekaterinburg 18 shots, Fakel Voronezh 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotUral Yekaterinburg 5 shots, Fakel Voronezh 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.95 xG0.78 xGUral Yekaterinburg 2.95 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.78 xG
  • Possession55%45%Ural Yekaterinburg 55%, Fakel Voronezh 45%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersUral Yekaterinburg 6 corners, Fakel Voronezh 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsUral Yekaterinburg 8 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ural Yekaterinburg
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Ural Yekaterinburg · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ural Yekaterinburg favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ural Yekaterinburg17 matchesFakel Voronezh17 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.24 goals/match
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.94 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/171.29 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots17/1711.9 shots/match
4.41 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.82 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession17/1741.3%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners17/174 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Nov 2022, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUral YekaterinburgFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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