PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 1–2.

Shots
199
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.721.07
Possession
78%22%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Akhmat Grozny): shots 19–9, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.72–1.07, possession 78%–22%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Akhmat Grozny's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against7 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.3% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Akhmat Grozny42.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat GroznyBaseline
Possession63.3%42.1%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Zenit St. Petersburg have a visible home split

moderate

Zenit St. Petersburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match19.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 19 shots, Akhmat Grozny 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 6 shots, Akhmat Grozny 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG1.07 xGZenit St. Petersburg 2.72 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.07 xG
  • Possession78%22%Zenit St. Petersburg 78%, Akhmat Grozny 22%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 7 corners, Akhmat Grozny 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls13 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 7 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Zenit St. Petersburg
1Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg16 matchesAkhmat Grozny16 matches
2.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.56 goals/match
0.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.5 goals/match
2.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/161.38 xG/match
19.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1612.9 shots/match
7.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/165 shots/match
63.3% ●Possession16/1642.1%
6.56 corners/match ●Corners16/164.06 corners/match
6.81 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Nov 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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