PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 0–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nizhny Novgorod won 0–1.

Shots
141
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
1.420.11
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Pari Nizhny Novgorod beat CSKA Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 14–1, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 1.42–0.11, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Pari Nizhny Novgorod10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowPari Nizhny NovgorodBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod have a visible away split

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots1 shotCSKA Moscow 14 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotCSKA Moscow 5 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.42 xG0.11 xGCSKA Moscow 1.42 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.11 xG
  • Possession65%35%CSKA Moscow 65%, Nizhny Novgorod 35%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersCSKA Moscow 6 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls18 foulsCSKA Moscow 7 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — CSKA Moscow · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow16 matchesNizhny Novgorod16 matches
1.81 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.19 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.69 goals/match
1.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/161.06 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots16/1610.4 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.38 shots/match
48.6% ●Possession16/1644.4%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners16/163.31 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Nov 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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