PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 3–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 3–2.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.540.97
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Akhmat Grozny 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Akhmat Grozny): shots 15–10, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.54–0.97, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.69 goals/match1.66 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsFC Rostov 15 shots, Akhmat Grozny 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsFC Rostov 9 shots, Akhmat Grozny 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.97 xGFC Rostov 1.54 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.97 xG
  • Possession60%40%FC Rostov 60%, Akhmat Grozny 40%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersFC Rostov 8 corners, Akhmat Grozny 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsFC Rostov 13 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Rostov
0Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — FC Rostov · Premier League1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov29 matchesAkhmat Grozny29 matches
1.62 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.69 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.28 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.47 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.76 shots/matchShots on target29/294.93 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession29/2943.9%
4.55 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.62 corners/match
9.69 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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