PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 2–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny and FK Krasnodar drew 2–2.

Shots
95
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
10.83
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny and FK Krasnodar drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – FK Krasnodar): shots 9–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1–0.83, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Akhmat Grozny's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.5%PossessionAkhmat Grozny · FK Krasnodar● 56.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession43.5%56.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots5 shotsAkhmat Grozny 9 shots, FK Krasnodar 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAkhmat Grozny 3 shots, FK Krasnodar 2 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG0.83 xGAkhmat Grozny 1 xG, FK Krasnodar 0.83 xG
  • Possession31%69%Akhmat Grozny 31%, FK Krasnodar 69%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersAkhmat Grozny 4 corners, FK Krasnodar 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsAkhmat Grozny 8 fouls, FK Krasnodar 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
0FK Krasnodar
FK Krasnodar — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny30 matchesFK Krasnodar30 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.53 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals30/23▲ 1.75 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots30/3014 shots/match
4.87 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 5.47 shots/match
43.5%Possession30/30● 56.5%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners30/304.33 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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