PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Lokomotiv Moscow 3–1 Torpedo Moskva · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 3–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
4.251.2
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Torpedo Moscow 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – Torpedo Moscow): shots 18–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 4.25–1.2, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lokomotiv Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLokomotiv Moscow · Torpedo Moscow9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLokomotiv MoscowTorpedo MoscowBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match9.21 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 18 shots, Torpedo Moskva 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 8 shots, Torpedo Moskva 4 shots
  • Expected goals4.25 xG1.2 xGLokomotiv Moscow 4.25 xG, Torpedo Moskva 1.2 xG
  • Possession56%44%Lokomotiv Moscow 56%, Torpedo Moskva 44%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 5 corners, Torpedo Moskva 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls, Torpedo Moskva 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
0Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Torpedo Moskva in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow30 matchesTorpedo Moskva30 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.73 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.03 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/280.87 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots30/299.21 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/293.1 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession30/2944.7%
4.23 corners/match ●Corners30/293.52 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls30/2911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowTorpedo Moskva
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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