PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–0 FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 1–0.

Shots
718
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.062.15
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat FC Spartak Moscow 1–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – FC Spartak Moscow): shots 7–18, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.06–2.15, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Spartak Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Spartak Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match2 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible home split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.33 corners/matchCornersKrylya Sovetov Samara · FC Spartak Moscow● 5.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC Spartak MoscowBaseline
Corners5.33 corners/match5.6 corners/match4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots18 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots, FC Spartak Moscow 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG2.15 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 1.06 xG, FC Spartak Moscow 2.15 xG
  • Possession29%71%Krylya Sovetov Samara 29%, FC Spartak Moscow 71%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 corners, FC Spartak Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 10 fouls, FC Spartak Moscow 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
1FC Spartak Moscow
FC Spartak Moscow — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League5–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Spartak Moscow in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara30 matchesFC Spartak Moscow30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.27 goals/match
1.63 xG/matchExpected goals28/22▲ 2.28 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 17.5 shots/match
5.07 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 6.3 shots/match
48.2%Possession30/30● 58.5%
5.33 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.6 corners/match
8.17 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraFC Spartak Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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