PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Fakel Voronezh 2–1 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh won 2–1.

Shots
811
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.271.12
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 8–11, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.27–1.12, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.66 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible away split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFakel Voronezh · Krylya Sovetov Samara14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.8 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots11 shotsFakel Voronezh 8 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotFakel Voronezh 2 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.12 xGFakel Voronezh 1.27 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.12 xG
  • Possession37%63%Fakel Voronezh 37%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 63%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersFakel Voronezh 3 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsFakel Voronezh 17 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
1Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh29 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara29 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.07 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.55 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals28/27▲ 1.65 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5.07 shots/match
42%Possession29/29● 48.8%
3.79 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.34 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls29/298.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required