PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 1–0.

Shots
125
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.970.47
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Fakel Voronezh 1–0. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Fakel Voronezh): shots 12–5, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.97–0.47, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fakel Voronezh's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fakel Voronezh's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fakel Voronezh show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Fakel Voronezh's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Fakel Voronezh11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgFakel VoronezhBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against7.9 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Fakel Voronezh41.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 21.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgFakel VoronezhBaseline
Possession62.5%41.5%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots5 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 12 shots, Fakel Voronezh 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotZenit St. Petersburg 2 shots, Fakel Voronezh 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.97 xG0.47 xGZenit St. Petersburg 1.97 xG, Fakel Voronezh 0.47 xG
  • Possession74%26%Zenit St. Petersburg 74%, Fakel Voronezh 26%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 3 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 11 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Zenit St. Petersburg
1Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg30 matchesFakel Voronezh30 matches
2.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.2 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.6 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/291.25 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.2 shots/match
6.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.9 shots/match
62.5% ●Possession30/3041.5%
6.23 corners/match ●Corners30/303.77 corners/match
7 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required