Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 4–1 FC Rostov · Premier League

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 4–1.

Shots
177
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
3.31.17
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat FC Rostov 4–1. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 17–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 3.3–1.17, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Rostov show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Rostov's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · FC Rostov11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFC RostovBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

CSKA Moscow have a visible home split

moderate

CSKA Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match15.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsCSKA Moscow 17 shots, FC Rostov 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotCSKA Moscow 7 shots, FC Rostov 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.3 xG1.17 xGCSKA Moscow 3.3 xG, FC Rostov 1.17 xG
  • Possession48%52%CSKA Moscow 48%, FC Rostov 52%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersCSKA Moscow 2 corners, FC Rostov 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls5 foulsCSKA Moscow 13 fouls, FC Rostov 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0FC Rostov
FC Rostov — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow30 matchesFC Rostov30 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.6 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.47 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/301.47 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.9 shots/match
5.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.63 shots/match
49.6%Possession30/30● 51.5%
5.1 corners/match ●Corners30/304.47 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls30/309.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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