PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg 1–2 Rodina Moscow · Premier League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rodina Moscow won 1–2.

Shots
227
Shots on target
63
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rodina Moscow beat Zenit St. Petersburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Rodina Moscow): shots 22–7, shots on target 6–3, possession 66%–34%, corners 11–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Zenit St. Petersburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Rodina Moscow7.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgRodina MoscowBaseline
Shots18 shots/match7.33 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match23.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

61% ●PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Rodina Moscow41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgRodina MoscowBaseline
Possession61%41%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 22 shots, Rodina Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 6 shots, Rodina Moscow 3 shots
  • Possession66%34%Zenit St. Petersburg 66%, Rodina Moscow 34%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 11 corners, Rodina Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 9 fouls, Rodina Moscow 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Rodina Moscow in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg3 matchesRodina Moscow3 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots3/37.33 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
61% ●Possession3/341%
6 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
9.67 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgRodina Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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