PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

FC Spartak Moscow 1–2 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 1–2.

Shots
1616
Shots on target
34
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat FC Spartak Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Spartak Moscow – FK Krasnodar): shots 16–16, shots on target 3–4, possession 63%–37%, corners 6–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Spartak Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3% ●PossessionFC Spartak Moscow · FK Krasnodar55%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Spartak MoscowFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession65.3%55%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots16 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 16 shots, FK Krasnodar 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 3 shots, FK Krasnodar 4 shots
  • Possession63%37%FC Spartak Moscow 63%, FK Krasnodar 37%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersFC Spartak Moscow 6 corners, FK Krasnodar 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsFC Spartak Moscow 12 fouls, FK Krasnodar 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Spartak Moscow
1Draws
3FK Krasnodar
FC Spartak Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Russian Cup1–1
FC Spartak Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League1–2
FK Krasnodar — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League2–1
FK Krasnodar — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League0–3
FC Spartak Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Spartak Moscow favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Spartak Moscow3 matchesFK Krasnodar3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
17.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/315.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 5.67 shots/match
65.3% ●Possession3/355%
7.67 corners/match ●Corners3/34.33 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Aug 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFC Spartak MoscowFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headFC Spartak Moscow — FK Krasnodar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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