PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg 3–0 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Zenit St. Petersburg won 3–0.

Shots
315
Shots on target
34
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Zenit St. Petersburg beat Dynamo Moscow 3–0. Recorded in this match (Zenit St. Petersburg – Dynamo Moscow): shots 3–15, shots on target 3–4, possession 43%–57%, corners 1–7. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.75 corners/matchCornersZenit St. Petersburg · Dynamo Moscow● 6.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDynamo MoscowBaseline
Corners4.75 corners/match6.25 corners/match4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Zenit St. Petersburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Zenit St. Petersburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsZenit St. Petersburg · Dynamo Moscow15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDynamo MoscowBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match7.75 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Dynamo Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.5%PossessionZenit St. Petersburg · Dynamo Moscow● 65.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricZenit St. PetersburgDynamo MoscowBaseline
Possession56.5%65.5%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots15 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 3 shots, Dynamo Moscow 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsZenit St. Petersburg 3 shots, Dynamo Moscow 4 shots
  • Possession43%57%Zenit St. Petersburg 43%, Dynamo Moscow 57%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersZenit St. Petersburg 1 corner, Dynamo Moscow 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsZenit St. Petersburg 16 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Zenit St. Petersburg
1Draws
1Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–3
Dynamo Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Russian Cup0–1
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow · Russian Cup1–3
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League2–1
Dynamo Moscow — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Zenit St. Petersburg favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Zenit St. Petersburg4 matchesDynamo Moscow4 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
14.3 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 15.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
56.5%Possession4/4● 65.5%
4.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsZenit St. PetersburgDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headZenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Moscow
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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