PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–4 Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Dinamo Makhachkala won 1–4.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
58
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 4–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Dinamo Makhachkala): shots 20–14, shots on target 5–8, possession 64%–36%, corners 9–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.3% ●PossessionKrylya Sovetov Samara · Dinamo Makhachkala38.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraDinamo MakhachkalaBaseline
Possession52.3%38.3%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 20 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 8 shots
  • Possession64%36%Krylya Sovetov Samara 64%, Dinamo Makhachkala 36%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 corners, Dinamo Makhachkala 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls6 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 14 fouls, Dinamo Makhachkala 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
3Dinamo Makhachkala
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League2–0
Dinamo Makhachkala — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–0
Dinamo Makhachkala — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League4–0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara4 matchesDinamo Makhachkala4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.75 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession4/438.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners4/42.5 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraDinamo Makhachkala
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Dinamo Makhachkala
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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