PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

Rodina Moscow 3–3 Akron Togliatti · Premier League

3–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rodina Moscow and Akron Togliatti drew 3–3.

Shots
718
Shots on target
36
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rodina Moscow and Akron Togliatti drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Rodina Moscow – Akron Togliatti): shots 7–18, shots on target 3–6, possession 36%–64%, corners 1–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akron Togliatti show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Akron Togliatti's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.25 shots/match ▲ShotsRodina Moscow · Akron Togliatti13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRodina MoscowAkron TogliattiBaseline
Shots7.25 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against22.3 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Akron Togliatti have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.8%PossessionRodina Moscow · Akron Togliatti● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRodina MoscowAkron TogliattiBaseline
Possession39.8%55.3%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots18 shotsRodina Moscow 7 shots, Akron Togliatti 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsRodina Moscow 3 shots, Akron Togliatti 6 shots
  • Possession36%64%Rodina Moscow 36%, Akron Togliatti 64%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersRodina Moscow 1 corner, Akron Togliatti 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsRodina Moscow 16 fouls, Akron Togliatti 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rodina Moscow favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Akron Togliatti in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rodina Moscow4 matchesAkron Togliatti4 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
7.25 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 13.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4.25 shots/match
39.8%Possession4/4● 55.3%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls4/413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsRodina MoscowAkron Togliatti
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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