PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

CSKA Moscow 1–0 Fakel Voronezh · Premier League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
910
Shots on target
30
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Fakel Voronezh 1–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Fakel Voronezh): shots 9–10, shots on target 3–0, possession 56%–44%, corners 7–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

CSKA Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.3% ●PossessionCSKA Moscow · Fakel Voronezh49.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFakel VoronezhBaseline
Possession58.3%49.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsCSKA Moscow 9 shots, Fakel Voronezh 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots0 shotsCSKA Moscow 3 shots, Fakel Voronezh 0 shots
  • Possession56%44%CSKA Moscow 56%, Fakel Voronezh 44%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersCSKA Moscow 7 corners, Fakel Voronezh 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsCSKA Moscow 14 fouls, Fakel Voronezh 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3CSKA Moscow
2Draws
0Fakel Voronezh
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–1
CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League0–0
CSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League4–1
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League1–1
Fakel Voronezh — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 0 of 9 directional metrics · Fakel Voronezh in 0 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow4 matchesFakel Voronezh4 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/413 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.25 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession4/449.8%
4 corners/matchCorners4/4● 6.25 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Aug 2026, 17:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFakel Voronezh
CompetitionPremier League
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — Fakel Voronezh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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